MARKET WATCH

THE CORPORATE TRADER / MACRO INTELLIGENCE

Market Watch.

Understand the economy behind the chart. Explore growth, inflation and employment before you form a market view.

LATEST PUBLISHED DATA

10 of 10 indicators available

Retrieved 19 Sept 2026, 8:09 pm IST

THE BIG PICTURE

Macro Dashboard

US ECONOMY
Economic releases are periodic, not a live price feed. Each figure has its own observation date. Refresh this page to request updated data. Older or missing readings are flagged; no simulated values are used.

01 / RELEASE MONITOR

US Economic Data

See economic calendar ↓

Compare the latest available reading with its previous period. Select an indicator for its definition and history.

Latest observations, not a release-time forecast comparison
IndicatorLatestPrevious periodObservationFrequency
Real GDP growth% annualised1.52.1Q2 2026Quarterly
Industrial production% YoY1.421.13Aug 2026Monthly
Headline CPI% YoY3.353.3Aug 2026Monthly
Core CPI% YoY2.452.47Aug 2026Monthly
Headline PCE% YoY3.73.72Jul 2026Monthly
Core PCE% YoY3.343.34Jul 2026Monthly
Nonfarm payroll changethousand jobs16221Aug 2026Monthly
Unemployment rate%4.14.1Aug 2026Monthly
Labour participation%61.661.4Aug 2026Monthly
Initial jobless claimsclaims1,96,0002,06,00012 Sept 2026Weekly

Consensus forecasts and surprise scores are not supplied by these series. The calendar may show forecasts where its provider has coverage. Directional price reactions are never guaranteed.

02 / ECONOMIC MOMENTUM

GDP & Growth

Is activity expanding or slowing? Read real output alongside industrial activity.

QuarterlyPublished series

Real GDP growth

1.5 % annualised

Observation: Q2 2026

↓ 0.6 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

Inflation-adjusted output growth from the preceding quarter, expressed at an annual rate. It is not year-on-year growth. Advance, second and third estimates can differ.

What to watch: Read consumption, investment, inventories and trade together. An inventory-driven increase does not mean household demand strengthened.

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · % annualised
PeriodValue
Q2 20261.5
Q1 20262.1
Q4 20250.5
Q3 20254.4
Q2 20253.8
Q1 2025-0.6
Q4 20241.9
Q3 20243.3
Q2 20243.6
Q1 20240.8
Q4 20233.4
Q3 20234.7
View source & release notes ↗
MonthlyAnnual change

Industrial production

1.42 % YoY

Observation: Aug 2026

↑ 0.29 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

Output of manufacturing, mining and utilities. The annual change is calculated from the seasonally adjusted index.

What to watch: Look for a sustained change across several months. Weather-related utility output can distort a single reading.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · % YoY
PeriodValue
Aug 20261.42
Jul 20261.13
Jun 20261.34
May 20261.66
Apr 20261.43
Mar 20260.69
Feb 20260.8
Jan 20260.97
Dec 20251.16
Nov 20251.75
Oct 20251.76
Sept 20251.86
View source & release notes ↗

03 / PRICE PRESSURE

Inflation Dashboard

Distinguish headline price shocks from underlying inflation. Annual rates here are calculated from seasonally adjusted index levels.

MonthlyAnnual change

Headline CPI

3.35 % YoY

Observation: Aug 2026

↑ 0.05 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

Consumer-price inflation including food and energy. This dashboard calculates the annual change from the seasonally adjusted index, which can differ from the commonly reported unadjusted annual rate.

What to watch: Separate broad price pressure from energy shocks and base effects. A lower inflation rate still means prices are rising when the rate remains positive.

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · % YoY
PeriodValue
Aug 20263.35
Jul 20263.3
Jun 20263.46
May 20264.17
Apr 20263.78
Mar 20263.29
Feb 20262.43
Jan 20262.39
Dec 20252.65
Nov 20252.7
Sept 20253.02
Aug 20252.94
View source & release notes ↗
MonthlyAnnual change

Core CPI

2.45 % YoY

Observation: Aug 2026

↓ 0.02 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

Consumer prices excluding food and energy. Annual change calculated from the seasonally adjusted index; this is not a month-on-month reading.

What to watch: Shelter and services can keep core inflation persistent. Compare the direction with headline CPI rather than treating one release as a trading signal.

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · % YoY
PeriodValue
Aug 20262.45
Jul 20262.47
Jun 20262.57
May 20262.82
Apr 20262.74
Mar 20262.6
Feb 20262.47
Jan 20262.51
Dec 20252.65
Nov 20252.6
Sept 20253.02
Aug 20253.11
View source & release notes ↗
MonthlyAnnual change

Headline PCE

3.7 % YoY

Observation: Jul 2026

↓ 0.02 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

The personal consumption expenditures price index covers a broad mix of consumer spending. Annual change is calculated from its seasonally adjusted index.

What to watch: PCE and CPI use different coverage and weights. They are useful together, but their levels should not be treated as interchangeable.

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · % YoY
PeriodValue
Jul 20263.7
Jun 20263.72
May 20264.11
Apr 20263.8
Mar 20263.54
Feb 20262.87
Jan 20262.88
Dec 20252.88
Nov 20252.82
Oct 20252.71
Sept 20252.79
Aug 20252.75
View source & release notes ↗
MonthlyAnnual change

Core PCE

3.34 % YoY

Observation: Jul 2026

↑ 0 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

PCE prices excluding food and energy, shown as annual inflation. It helps assess underlying price pressure, but is not itself a policy decision.

What to watch: Assess persistence alongside employment and growth. Softer inflation does not guarantee a rate cut or a particular market reaction.

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · % YoY
PeriodValue
Jul 20263.34
Jun 20263.34
May 20263.46
Apr 20263.33
Mar 20263.25
Feb 20263.05
Jan 20263.1
Dec 20252.97
Nov 20252.83
Oct 20252.75
Sept 20252.83
Aug 20252.91
View source & release notes ↗

04 / JOBS & PARTICIPATION

Labour Market

Connect hiring, unemployment, participation and new benefit claims to understand labour-market conditions.

MonthlyMonthly change

Nonfarm payroll change

162 thousand jobs

Observation: Aug 2026

↑ 141 thousand jobs versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment from the previous month, calculated from seasonally adjusted employment levels. These are jobs, not a count of unique employed people.

What to watch: Review revisions and the broader trend. Payrolls and unemployment come from different surveys and can move in different directions.

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · thousand jobs
PeriodValue
Aug 2026162
Jul 202621
Jun 202631
May 202663
Apr 2026148
Mar 2026214
Feb 2026-156
Jan 2026160
Dec 2025-17
Nov 202541
Oct 2025-140
Sept 202576
View source & release notes ↗
MonthlyPublished series

Unemployment rate

4.1 %

Observation: Aug 2026

→ 0 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

Unemployed people as a share of the civilian labour force, seasonally adjusted. It excludes people outside the labour force.

What to watch: Read alongside participation and payrolls. A falling unemployment rate can reflect either hiring or people leaving the labour force.

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · %
PeriodValue
Aug 20264.1
Jul 20264.1
Jun 20264.2
May 20264.3
Apr 20264.3
Mar 20264.3
Feb 20264.4
Jan 20264.3
Dec 20254.4
Nov 20254.5
Sept 20254.4
Aug 20254.3
View source & release notes ↗
MonthlyPublished series

Labour participation

61.6 %

Observation: Aug 2026

↑ 0.2 percentage points versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

The civilian labour force as a share of the civilian noninstitutional population aged 16 and over, seasonally adjusted.

What to watch: Participation provides context for unemployment. Demographics and changes in willingness or ability to work can influence it.

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · %
PeriodValue
Aug 202661.6
Jul 202661.4
Jun 202661.5
May 202661.8
Apr 202661.8
Mar 202661.9
Feb 202662
Jan 202662.1
Dec 202562.4
Nov 202562.5
Sept 202562.5
Aug 202562.3
View source & release notes ↗
WeeklyPublished series

Initial jobless claims

1,96,000 claims

Observation: 12 Sept 2026

↓ 10,000 claims versus prior period.

Understand this indicator & view history

New claims for unemployment insurance, seasonally adjusted. The observation date identifies the week ending, not the release timestamp.

What to watch: Weekly figures can be volatile around holidays and disruptions. Several weeks of movement are more informative than one isolated change.

Source: US Employment and Training Administration, via FRED. Previous readings reflect the current revised series, not necessarily the first release.

Latest 12 observations · claims
PeriodValue
12 Sept 20261,96,000
5 Sept 20262,06,000
29 Aug 20262,07,000
22 Aug 20262,04,000
15 Aug 20262,07,000
8 Aug 20262,12,000
1 Aug 20262,00,000
25 Jul 20261,98,000
18 Jul 20261,89,000
11 Jul 20262,09,000
4 Jul 20262,17,000
27 Jun 20262,17,000
View source & release notes ↗

05 / PLAN AHEAD

Economic Calendar

THIRD-PARTY WIDGET

Upcoming US releases, importance and available actual / forecast / previous readings. Check the timezone displayed inside the calendar before planning around an event.

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